According to population genetics and anthropology, our homo sapiens subspecies sapiens (anatomically modern humans H.s.s) has grown to the alleged population of 7.5 billion from a group of 20-30 persons that appeared in Africa 120-150 000 years ago and moved back and forth through Sinai to Eurasia.
The population counter of the UN Institute of the population is badly out of order as it takes into account manipulated numbers supplied by China, India, and Pakistan. China claims 1,4, India 1.4 billion citizens. Both numbers are fictional made to order of their ruling powers, used for propaganda, and badly marry with facts.
Coronavirus to write off the world debt
The coronavirus epidemic in China that turned by 2020 into a pandemic in the global village is an inevitable product of globalization.
The Covid-19 pandemic is allegedly the only reason for the lockdowns in the countries producing over 85% of the world GDP with a population of 4.7 billion.
Lockdowns in China, Taiwan, South Korea, Singapore, Japan have stopped the epidemics. with draconian quarantine measures, availability of medical manpower, equipment, and hospitals.
Lockdowns in democratic countries that either can’t apply complete quarantine or don’t have adequate medical manpower, equipment, and hospital beds or both may prove to be much more destructive than constructive.
The allegation that pandemic originated in the centralized state capitalism of communist China is irrelevant. As China became by 2020 the largest manufacturing economy and exporter of goods, the severing of the supply chains leads to the contraction of the world GDP, and social unrest.
The epidemic of SARS in 2002-2003 did not cross the borders of China and did not turn into a pandemic. In 2002 China was just 4th manufacturing economy in the world. Nowadays it is the first one. Will China become the only one by 2025?
Fact 03 – Spanish flu January 1918 – December 1920
An unusually deadly pandemic involving H1N1 virus that affected 500 million people or about 27% of the world population of between 1.8 billion with the death toll as high as 100 million young adults.
Massive programs of vaccination of 1895-1918 based on the research of Louis Pasteur, Ferdinand Cohn and Robert Koch, founders of microbiology and bacteriology, coincide with 15-18 years time-lag with the Spanish flu pandemic with the high mortality rate for young adults.
Hypothesis 02 – Coronavirus to write off the world debt
World powers have found a solution to delete the global debt. Indeed, The top borrowers in the world – the United States, China, Europe, and Japan—account for 3/4 of global debt, exceeding by 50% their share of global output.
Ways and Means for debtor nations
Forecast for 2020-2022
Hypothesis 03 – Origin of COVID pandemic
An optimistic case. Genetical engineering research on the military, political, and/or ideological competing agenda in China, USA, Israel, UK, Russia. A man-made virus always has an antidote vaccine to be released upon the achievement of objectives of the agenda. The population accepts massive vaccination, even if it has infertility as a side effect. Controlled reduction of the world population to the size defined by the agenda.
A pessimistic case. Pandemic as a result of mutation of coronavirus uncontrolled by humans. Genetical engineering research develops ASAP a vaccine against Covid-19 that may have infertility as a side effect. AKA, vaccines against Ebola or AIDS stop Covid-19 but has infertility as collateral. Uncontrolled reduction of the world population by die-outs until it develops immunity. The size of the reduction is a guess.
History will repeat itself. Surviving historians will rewrite history to suit the surviving powers.
Population statistics wargame
The population of 20 major cities in China is 250 million, 50% of the population lives in cities, grain production 500 mln tons, rice 200 mln tons. The average per head consumption including transformation is 1 ton per annum. The population estimate does not exceed 700 million.
The population of 20 major cities in India is 75 million, 15% of the population lives in cities, grain production 300 mln tons, rice 200 mln tons. The average per head consumption including transformation is 1 ton per annum. The population estimate does not exceed 500 million.
Corollary: the actual population is closer to 6 than to 8 billion people.
H.s. sapiens subspecies has barely survived the Ice Age that started 110 000 years ago and finished 10 000 years ago but was followed by “stimulating” Little Ice Ages and volcanic eruptions. We enter by 2020 into New Little Ice Age, increased climate instability, and volcanic activity.
Europe had good luck with the early medieval warm period from 850 to 1350 followed by Little Ice Age of 1350 to 1850 which literally pushed it into Renaissance and Enlightenment, induced scientific and technical superiority compared of Europe to Eurasia. From 1452 to 1850 Europeans colonized the Globe.
Present Chart of climate waves is based on ice core probes from Greenland is irrefutable, historical legends referred thereto are not. Being based on erroneous chronology invented in XVII century all events, empires, kingdoms prior to XVI century “related” in consensual history are alleged.
The Northern hemisphere became suitable for agriculture ensuring our species fairly stable survival conditions. We restarted multiplying. Anthropology, DNA genetics, population genomics, modern evolutionary synthesis allow tracking the movements of subspecies population across the globe.
According to UN Population Institute, the world population reached 1 billion by 1800 AD. UN Institute considers that humans can form a self-sustainable civilization with an initial population of 73 000.
Input: species X multiply in couples, produce 3 surviving children, have 25 years lifespan, favorable survival conditions are present, i.e. ideal fluvial agriculture in the delta of Nile, survival territory Y (Egypt, Mare Nostrum coasts).
Output: exponential population growth of 18% per generation of 25 years or annual 0.72% growth, and our species reaches after 48 generations the population of 1 billion in 1800 AD from starting initial population of 73 000 in 600 AD, die-outs due to the development of large sea and land transportation networks are excluded.
The above reverse calculation of the population growth points to the low probability of the complicated world history lasting over 1500 years to have really taken place as related. There was simply not enough population for all the events, characters, wars, armies of hundreds of thousands of warriors battling all over Eurasia.
On the contrary, it is highly probable that the artifacts and events related by the consensual version of history as very ancient have actually taken place in the Xth-XVIth centuries. Most of these events and artifacts may have interpretations very different from the ones of the consensual history.
Compact history hypothesis: by approx. 1000 AD the population of our species reaches 2 million, forms a polytheistic proto-state Kem in Egypt, invents statehood, religion, literacy, basic instruments, armaments, and warfare, morphs into monotheistic Judea-Israel Empire and spreads in Europe. By approx. 1200 AD Judea-Israel Empire starts to expand as an Orthodox Catholic Christendom Empire in Europe and Eurasia.
The Medieval Warm Period of 850–1350 A.D. in Northern Europe A.D. helped the growth of agriculture, construction, trade, and industry. The economic consequences of the Little Ice Age of 1350 – 1850 lead to the peasant revolts, Jewish pogroms, the sack of rich Catholic monasteries, facilitated the Protestantism, social and industrial revolutions.
By approx. 1400 AD Christendom Empire transforms into the centralized “Evil Empire” of Eurasia that disintegrates by approx. 1600 AD. The over-abundant inconsistencies of the consensual history show that it is not a Science, but an Art of inventing the fairy tales of ‘ancient’ Egypt, Greece, Rome, Persia, India and China that served the separation of Europe from Eurasia on the agenda of the ruling powers of the Western Europe of XVI-XVIIth centuries.
About the Author: Dr.Fomenko, Anatoly. Born in 1945. Full Member (Academician) of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Full Member of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, Full Member of the International Higher Education Academy of Sciences, Doctor of Physics and Mathematics, Professor, Head of the Moscow State University Department of Mathematics and Mechanics. Solved the classical Plateau s Problem from the theory of minimal spectral surfaces. Author of the theory of invariants and topological classification of integrable Hamiltonian dynamic systems.
Laureate of the 1996 National Premium in Mathematics of the Russian Federation for a cycle of works on the Hamiltonian dynamic system multitude invariance theory. Author of 180 scientific publications, 26 monographs, and textbooks on mathematics, a specialist in geometry and topology, variational calculus, symplectic topology, Hamiltonian geometry and mechanics, computational geometry. Author of a number of books on the development of new empirical-statistical methods and their application to the analysis of historical chronicles as well as the chronology of Antiquity and the Middle Ages.